UK Energy Market Update: 14th –18th July 2025

Steady gas, volatile power — a mixed week for business energy buyers

💡 Summary at a Glance

📈 Prices rose across both markets this week — bad news for those waiting to fix.
🔌 Power climbed nearly 8%, reversing the dip we saw the week before.

⚡ Day-Ahead Prices Breakdown

⚠️ No major pricing anomalies, but both gas and electricity rose steadily throughout the week.

📅 5-Week Price Trend

✅ Power is trending lower after June volatility — a positive sign.
⚠️ Gas has climbed 4% this week, reversing part of the recent softening.

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🌍 What’s Driving the Market?

🟢 Gas Market Drivers

• 🔧 Norwegian maintenance at Nyhamna, Kollsnes, and Troll facilities caused big supply dips — cutting over 90mcm/day on 16 July alone
• 🇳🇴 Flows to UK recovered by Friday, but the damage was already priced in.
• ❄️ Temperature forecasts adjusted slightly down, but cooling demand remained above normal.
• 🛬 LNG sendout dipped — South Hook and Isle of Grain only supplied 9mcm/day by Friday

🔌 Power Market Drivers

• 🏭 Nuclear outages remain high: Hartlepool 2 and Heysham 1-2 still offline. Torness Unit 1 will also drop offline from 19 July
• 🌬️ Wind generation dropped midweek, leading to more gas-for-power demand.
• 🔌 Imports stable, but UK was still importing less via Belgium and the Netherlands compared to earlier in July.
• ☀️ Solar stayed strong, keeping peak pricing capped despite tight margins.

📈 6–Month Energy Market Trends

The chart below shows how day-ahead gas and power prices have moved since January.
Gas is still trending down from winter highs, butelectricity remains unstable, driven by generation and demand imbalances.

💡 What This Means for Your Business

🔭 What to Watch Next Week



• 🔧 Norwegian outage risk remains: Gassco expects repairs to finish by early week, but delays are possible.
• 🛬 LNG arrivals due from Algeria, US, Nigeria and Russia — watch closely for delivery confirmations.
• ☀️ Hot weather and light winds will impact both gas demand and power prices.
• ⚛️ Torness Unit 1 offline from 19 July – further strain on baseload supply.

🔭 Next Steps

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💬 Final Thoughts

This week was a turning point:

• 🔺 Gas and power both moved higher — reversing early July's dip
• 🔧 Supply risks remain real, and heat is keeping demand elevated
• 📈 Forward contract rates are also climbing — early action may avoid further hikes



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