UK Energy Market Update: 13th - 17th October 2025
WEEKLY ENERGY
MARKET REPORT
13–17 October 2025
Weekly average prices, key drivers, and your contract renewal window
Power spiked mid-week on a UK interconnector outage, but gas eased on Norwegian supply recovery. Winter premiums are building—this is your window to benchmark fixed rates.
Day-ahead (DA) prices for next-day delivery and how they compare across key timeframes.
| Metric | Gas (p/th) | Power (£/MWh) | What It Means |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | — | — | Day-ahead spot |
| vs Previous Day | — | — | Daily move |
| vs Previous Week | — | — | Weekly change |
| vs Previous Month | — | — | Month-on-month |
| vs Previous Year | — | — | Year-on-year |
② 5-Week Price Movement
What happened: Power crashed 19 Sep (high wind generation: 54.41), then spiked mid-week this week (interconnector outage: 105.65 peak), now cooling. Gas stayed volatile in the 79–81p range.
③ What Moved the Market
Four key drivers shaped the week. Red = supportive of higher prices; green = easing pressure.
Forward Prices Dashboard
Weekly trend analysis | 13–17 October 2025
Volatility Alert: October 13th saw peak prices across both gas and power. Prices corrected lower on Oct 14–15, then stabilized with week-end recovery in power.
Key Insights
- Oct 13 spike: Both commodities hit weekly highs (market volatility event)
- Oct 14–15 correction: Prices pulled back as market equilibrated
- Week-end recovery: Power strengthened on Oct 17; Gas remained flat
- Seasonal structure: Winter premiums persist (~4–3.5 above Cal average); summer discounts (~2.8–4.8 below)
When to Renew — Personalised guidance for your contract
Enter your contract end date below to see exactly what you should do right now.
Fix your new contract now
- Why: Prices this week support locking in — avoid last-minute spikes.
- What to do: Choose a simple fully fixed deal today for price certainty.
Lean towards fixing in the next few weeks
- Why: Market is — ; taking a deal on a dip is sensible.
- What to do: Set a target. If prices touch this week's low, go ahead and renew.
Watch monthly — be ready to move
- Why: No rush, but two strong up-days can lift offers quickly.
- What to do: Check weekly. If prices revisit recent lows, consider bringing renewal forward.
You're fine — check in monthly
- Why: Plenty of time. Keep an eye on the general direction.
- What to do: If we see a steady climb for a couple of weeks, review earlier.
Quick answers in plain English
Short, simple explanations to help you make sense of today’s prices and what they mean for your next fixed contract.
What is Day-Ahead (DA)?
Day-Ahead is the wholesale market for power and gas delivered tomorrow. It shows what’s happening right now and flags any sudden changes that could affect prices.
DA can jump around a lot. Suppliers do look at it, but your price won’t always change straight away just because DA spikes or drops on the day.
What does “Cal-26” mean?
Cal-26 means the calendar year 2026. It’s a forward price for the whole of 2026 and includes both the winter and summer months. It’s a simple way to see the market view for that full year.
What are Summer and Winter prices?
Summer usually has longer, warmer days. Demand is lower, storage is healthier, so prices often lean cheaper.
Winter is the opposite — colder weather and shorter days mean higher demand, so prices are typically higher.
Will I know my next renewal price today?
If you’re on a fixed contract, you won’t know your next renewal price until we actually go to market for you.
The forward market gives a good guide to where costs are heading and whether to expect a rise or fall. It’s useful for planning and budgeting for future years, but it isn’t a final quote.
How can I get a quote?
Easy — request a free, no-obligation quote on our site. We’ll check the latest supplier rates and show you the best fixed options for your business.
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