Smart Energy Insights
Energy Insights
Thomas McGlynn • 27 May 2025

Energy Market Update: 19th - 23rd May 2025

Gas and power prices climbed again last week, rising for a second week in a row as Norwegian maintenance continued and political uncertainty lingered. Here's what moved the market and what it means for your next contract.

A weekly energy market recap from smart energy company

๐Ÿ“Š Weekly Energy Market Recap


โšก Quick Snapshot


  • Day-Ahead Gas: Up from 79.36 p/therm to 85.72 p/therm


  • Day-Ahead Power: Rose from £77.63 to £85.89/MWh

๏ปฟ

  • Both markets reached new 6-week highs, led by lower Norwegian flows and geopolitical risks

๐Ÿ“… 5-Week Price Trend

Week Ending Avg Gas (p/th) Avg Power (£/MWh)
23/05/2025 85.72 £85.89
16/05/2025 79.36 £77.63
09/05/2025 82.14 £83.91
02/05/2025 76.39 £77.68
25/04/2025 84.07 £86.25

๐Ÿ“ˆ Prices are now firmly back on an upward trajectory after a brief drop mid-May.

๐Ÿ“‰ Market Overview


๐Ÿ“Œ Rangebound to Rising

Markets opened quietly but surged midweek as Norwegian gas flows dipped sharply and peace talks between Russia and Ukraine fell flat.


๐ŸŒ Political Influence

A phone call between Trump and Putin failed to yield progress, while U.S. senators proposed new penalties on Russian trade. Sentiment remains sensitive to headlines.

๏ปฟ

๐ŸงŠ Weather & Storage

Slightly cooler temperatures and strong gas storage targets in the EU (~45%) added to bullish pressure.

๐Ÿ“Š Weekly Prices at a Glance

Gas (Day-Ahead) Power (Day-Ahead)
Highest 89.80 p/therm (21/05) £88.58/MWh (23/05)
Lowest 80.25 p/therm (19/05) £84.08/MWh (19/05)
Weekly Average 85.72 p/therm £85.89/MWh
Change vs Last Week ๐Ÿ”บ +8.0% ๐Ÿ”บ +10.6%

๐Ÿ” Key Factors This Week


๐ŸŸจ Soft Fundamentals


  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Norwegian gas flows hit a low due to Kollsnes maintenance
  • ๐ŸŒก๏ธ Weather cooled midweek, raising gas-for-heating demand
  • ๐Ÿ”‹ EU storage hit 45%, still behind seasonal average


๐ŸŒ Geopolitical & Trade Headlines


  • ๐Ÿงพ Failed Russia–Ukraine peace talks dragged on
  • ๐Ÿ“ž Trump–Putin call offered no breakthrough
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ New U.S. legislation proposed trade penalties on countries buying Russian energy
  • ๐ŸŒ LNG demand in Asia picked up, raising competition for supply๏ปฟ

๐Ÿ“ฃ What This Means for Your Business


๐Ÿ”น Contracts Ending Soon (0–3 Months)

Now is a sensible time to fix. The market has been climbing and recent dips are being erased. Locking in now could protect you from any further short-term spikes.


๐Ÿ”น Contracts Ending Mid-Term (3–6 Months)

Request a quote and set a trigger point. You may want to wait — but prices are rising, and a dual quote (for now vs. later) can help you make a clear choice.

๏ปฟ

๐Ÿ”น Long-Term Renewals (6+ Months)

No rush, but monitor closely. If we see another Norwegian outage, or if peace talks fall apart, prices could creep up. Set price alerts and review quarterly.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Avoid paying more than you need to.

If your contract’s due soon, now could be a smart time to get a fixed quote while prices are still below winter highs.

๐Ÿ“ˆ 6-Month Energy Market Trends


Gas and power prices bounced sharply after weeks of sideways movement.
We’re now seeing prices at their highest since late March.

๏ปฟ

๐Ÿ“ˆ Gas is nearing 90 p/therm again, a level last seen in mid-Q1.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Power is back near £90/MWh, driven by supply fears and tightness in LNG and renewables.

A graph showing a wholesale market report for the last 12 months

๐Ÿ”ญ Next Steps

Ready to Lock in Better Rates or Stay Ahead of the Market?

Our experts monitor global energy movements so you don’t have to—take control now.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Looking Ahead


  • ๐Ÿ”ง Norwegian flows expected to return to normal — could ease pressure
  • ๐ŸงŠ Cooler weather across Northern Europe may increase short-term demand
  • ๐Ÿ“… All eyes remain on whether any progress will be made on Russia–Ukraine peace
  • ๐Ÿงพ New U.S. sanctions could spark more volatility depending on timing๏ปฟ

๐Ÿค Final Thoughts


The market continues to react more to politics than physical shortages.
But prices are clearly rising, and the risk of doing nothing is growing.

๏ปฟ
If you’ve got a renewal due before summer — now is a good time to review it.