Thomas McGlynn • 4 March 2026

Daily Energy Market Report & Business Rates | Smart Energy Co

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Crisis Update · 4 March 2026

Markets are surging as the US–Iran conflict continues and Qatar’s LNG production remains offline. Gas is up over 70% in a month. Expect continued extreme volatility. Read our full analysis →

📅 Wednesday, 4 March 2026

Energy Prices Rising Fast — Don't Leave Your Renewal

Sum-26 gas rose 65.5% today to 126.91p/therm. Electricity rose 44.2% to £101.37/MWh. Both fuels are trending higher — gas up 71% and electricity up 41% over 30 days. Worth looking at options if your renewal is coming up. If your contract is ending soon, getting quotes sooner rather than later could help.

🔥
Gas Today
↑ 65.5%
Electricity Today
↑ 44.2%
30-Day Trend
Gas +71.2%
Electricity +40.9%
🔥
GAS: PRICES RISING FAST

Gas rose today and is up on the week across all contracts (averaging +30.9%). Up 71% over 30 days too. If you're renewing soon, it's worth getting quotes before prices potentially rise further.

ELECTRICITY: PRICES RISING FAST

Electricity rose today and is up on the week across all contracts (averaging +22.7%). Up 41% over 30 days too. If you're renewing soon, it's worth getting quotes before prices potentially rise further.

Today's Gas Spot
137.00p /therm
↑71.9% vs yesterday
Today's Electricity Spot
£121.56 /MWh
↑81.4% vs yesterday

📊 Wholesale Forward Prices

These are the wholesale rates energy suppliers use to price your contract. Your business rate will be higher as it includes network costs, supplier margins and government charges.

How to read this: Red ↑ = rising (costs more) · Green ↓ = falling (costs less) · day= today · wk= this week · 📈📉 = 5-day trend
Contract 🔥 Gas (p/therm) ⚡ Electricity (£/MWh)
Apr-26
Front month delivery
140.99p
↑17.6% day ↑0.7% wk
£110.58
↑18.4% day ↑8.6% wk
Sum-26
April to September delivery
126.91p
↑65.5% day ↑68.9% wk
£101.37
↑44.2% day ↑46.4% wk
Win-26
October to March delivery
109.70p
↑36.0% day ↑37.1% wk
£91.88
↑21.6% day ↑22.0% wk
Q2-26
Quarterly delivery
134.76p
↑73.3% day ↑77.1% wk
£105.84
↑50.4% day ↑53.2% wk
Q3-26
Quarterly delivery
119.14p
↑57.6% day ↑60.6% wk
£96.95
↑38.1% day ↑39.7% wk
Q4-26
Quarterly delivery
115.52p
↑45.1% day ↑46.8% wk
£90.40
↑22.5% day ↑22.9% wk
May-26
Front month delivery
135.32p
↑73.5% day ↑77.2% wk
£106.26
↑51.8% day ↑54.4% wk

📈 Sum-26 Price Trend

Wholesale gas and electricity prices over the last 16 trading days. Hover or tap for exact values.

🔥 ━━ Gas (p/therm) ━━ Electricity (£/MWh)

📝 What's Happening in the Market

UK wholesale gas prices rose today, with Sum-26 at 126.91p per therm (+65.5%). Prices have risen 71.2% over the past month — one of the biggest moves we've seen recently. This week continued the trend, with a further 2.0% rise. If your gas contract is ending soon, it's worth getting quotes before prices rise further.

UK wholesale electricity rose today, with Sum-26 at £101.37 per MWh (+44.2%). Prices have risen 40.9% over the past month — one of the biggest moves we've seen recently. This week continued the trend, with a further 1.5% rise. If your contract is ending soon, it's worth getting quotes sooner rather than later.

🔍 What Moved the Market

📈
Extreme price swings continue in the European gas markets this morning as the conflict in the Middle East continues. The NBP front month contract is pricing at 139.00 p/th at time of writing, another 25% increase on the previous session.
📈
The Strait sees around 20% of the world's global oil and LNG supplies pass through every day, with a large number of vessels now stationary at either end of the Strait, waiting to see how the situation develops and when it will be safe to pass.
📈
Brent oil is pricing up at $80.95/bbl this morning, an increase of 11% since Friday and at levels we haven't seen since January last year.
📈
Near-term prices are seeing significant gains across European markets as wind generation falls away this week. Wind speeds are holding below normal for the next 2 weeks across North West Europe, according to the latest forecasts.
📈
A decrease in renewable generation is expected to see an increase in gas-for-power demand. Carbon EUAs continue to price at lows on ministerial comments.

🔄 When Should I Renew?

Based on 30-day price trends. Gas and electricity can move in opposite directions — find your renewal window and check both fuel signals.

Signal guide: 🔴 PRICES RISING = trending up, consider acting · 🟡 WORTH WATCHING = mixed signals, keep an eye on it · 🟢 PRICES EASING / GOOD TIME TO QUOTE = coming down, good conditions
Summer Renewals
Contract ending Apr–Sep
🔥 Gas: PRICES RISING FAST ⚡ Electricity: PRICES RISING FAST

Both fuels trending upward (gas +71.2%, electricity +40.9% over 30 days). If your contract is ending soon, getting quotes now could help you avoid further rises.

🔥 Gas
126.91p
+71.2% in 30 days
⚡ Electricity
£101.37
+40.9% in 30 days
Winter Renewals
Contract ending Oct–Mar
🔥 Gas: PRICES RISING ⚡ Electricity: PRICES RISING

Both fuels trending upward (gas +40.1%, electricity +17.8% over 30 days). If your contract is ending soon, getting quotes now could help you avoid further rises.

🔥 Gas
109.70p
+40.1% in 30 days
⚡ Electricity
£91.88
+17.8% in 30 days
Annual Renewals
Full year contracts
🔥 Gas: PRICES RISING FAST ⚡ Electricity: PRICES RISING FAST

Both fuels trending upward (gas +79.3%, electricity +47.0% over 30 days). If your contract is ending soon, getting quotes now could help you avoid further rises.

🔥 Gas
134.76p
+79.3% in 30 days
⚡ Electricity
£105.84
+47.0% in 30 days

💡 Tip: Gas and electricity don't always move together. If your business uses mostly one fuel, focus on that signal. We're always happy to talk through your specific situation.

Prices Are Rising — Check Your Renewal Rates

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Source: ICE Endex / SEFE daily report · As of: Wednesday, 4 March 2026 (market close)
Smart Energy Company — Independent energy broker since 2014